Southwest Monsoon | Rainfall Deficit and Kharif Risk | Best Current Affairs For UPSC
Summary of News
A. Simple Summary of News
India faced a sharp early-season rainfall deficit because the southwest monsoon slowed down over parts of Maharashtra and central India.
In the early phase of the 2026 southwest monsoon, all-India rainfall deficit was reported to be around 41%.
This delay affected the beginning of the kharif sowing season, especially for crops like paddy, cotton, soybean and pulses.
The issue became important because weak early monsoon can affect farming, water storage, food prices and rural income.
B. Short Context
The southwest monsoon usually reaches Kerala around 1 June and slowly covers most of India by mid-July.
The India Meteorological Department (IMD) uses Long Period Average (LPA) to judge whether monsoon rainfall is normal, below normal or above normal.
A monsoon is generally called normal when rainfall is around 96% to 104% of LPA.
In 2026, the monsoon concern was also linked with possible El Nino conditions, which usually weaken the Indian monsoon.
C. Why It Is Important for UPSC
This news is important because it helps revise the static geography topic of Indian monsoon mechanism.
It also connects geography with economy because monsoon affects kharif crops, food inflation, reservoir storage, rural demand and farmers’ income.
Static Link (Preview)
Southwest Monsoon mechanism
Long Period Average (LPA)
Normal, below-normal and deficient rainfall categories
Inter-Tropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ)
Arabian Sea branch and Bay of Bengal branch
Monsoon trough
Monsoon break
El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO)
Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD)
Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO)
Western Disturbances
Kharif cropping pattern
Drought and rainfall variability
UPSC Trap (Preview)
Statement may convert early-season deficit into full-season drought.
Statement may claim El Nino always causes monsoon failure in India.
Statement may confuse monsoon break with withdrawal of monsoon.
Statement may treat rainfall deficit as uniform across all regions.
Possible MCQ Question
With reference to the Indian southwest monsoon, consider the following statements:
IMD treats seasonal rainfall between 96% and 104% of the Long Period Average as normal monsoon rainfall.
A monsoon break necessarily means that the southwest monsoon has withdrawn from the areas it had already covered.
El Nino generally suppresses the Indian monsoon, but it does not by itself prove nationwide drought in every region.
Which of the statements given above are correct?
- A.1 only
- B.2 only
- C.1 and 3 only
- D.1, 2 and 3
Unlock the Full Decoder
Full decoder, answer, explanation and elimination clue are available inside the Prelims Antishock Tool.
- • Revision of static
- • Second-layer / hidden angles
- • Evidence-to-process reasoning
- • MCQ answer + explanation
- • Elimination clue line
- • Final Antishock takeaway